What Operators Learned When the Snow Didn’t Come
This past winter was the second warmest in U.S. history, according to climate records dating back to 1895. It was so warm that Durk Johnson,...
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What Operators Learned When the Snow Didn’t Come
What It Says
The 2024-2025 winter season served as a "stress test" for short-term rental (STR) operators in ski destinations due to record-high temperatures and low snowfall. Data from Inntopia and Vail Resorts highlighted significant drops in visitation, particularly in Colorado. To combat the downturn, operators like Lee Sims of Winter Park Lodging Company and Steamboat Lodging Company leveraged Key Data to lower rates and convince homeowners to drop price floors.
When the "champagne powder" failed to arrive, the focus shifted from the slopes to the guest experience. Teams pivoted by promoting local dining, stocking homes with indoor entertainment, and utilizing shuttle services for non-ski activities. Additionally, the industry is seeing a shift toward "protection as a strategy," using products like RentalGuardian and Booking Guardian to balance guest demands for flexibility with homeowner needs for revenue stability.
Why It Matters
Weather volatility is becoming a standard operational risk across all regions, from "snow droughts" in the West to wildfires in the Pacific Northwest and hurricanes in the Southeast. For STR operators, this necessitates a move away from rigid, legacy cancellation policies toward tech-enabled flexibility. If operators cannot guarantee the primary draw (like skiing), they must rely on data-driven revenue management and superior on-the-ground hospitality to preserve brand reputation and future bookings.
Useful Signals
- Data-Driven Adjustments: Weekly revenue meetings using Key Data allowed managers to respond to softening demand in real-time.
- Operational Pivots: In Steamboat, shuttle programs originally meant for ski lifts saw record use as transport to downtown shopping and dining.
- Insurance Trends: The global travel insurance market is projected to reach $132.9 billion by 2034, driven largely by climate-related disruptions.
- Specific Risk Factors: Wildfire risk in the Pacific Northwest is projected to double by 2035, while 80% of Atlantic hurricanes (2019-2023) showed increased intensity due to climate change.
STR Tech Report Take
Climate change is transforming STR management into a high-stakes game of "experience management" rather than just property management. Tech vendors have a massive opportunity to integrate climate-risk data directly into revenue management systems. For operators, the lesson is clear: reliance on a single seasonal draw is a liability. Success now depends on "long-tail" loyalty programs—like Northwest Vacations' one-time reservation shifts—and using insurance tech to offload the financial risk of flexible cancellations from the homeowner to a third party.
As Lee Sims noted, "We can’t control the weather. But we can control almost everything else." Bashar Omar added, "Major OTAs have really pushed hard on flexible cancellation policies. They spoiled the guests."
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